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Northeast Avalon–St. John'sSafeUrban

Mount Scio

MHA: Sarah Stoodley · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal90% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 42.4% projected vote90%
  • NL NDP · 33.9% projected vote9%

2025 result

  • Sarah Stoodley · Liberalelected2,00646.1%
  • Darrell Hynes · Progressive Conservative1,55135.7%
  • Laurabel Mba · NL NDP79218.2%
Margin
10.5%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
41.4%
Registered
10,504

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Sarah Stoodley · Liberalelected2,01146.6%
  • Damian Follett · Progressive Conservative1,15226.7%
  • Sheilagh O'Leary · NL NDP1,07424.9%
  • Andrea Newbury · NL Alliance601.4%
  • Larry G. Borne · Independent180.4%

2019 result

  • Sarah Stoodley · Liberalelected1,98141.7%
  • Lloyd Power · Progressive Conservative1,76937.2%
  • Jason R. Mercer · NL NDP59712.6%
  • Graydon Pelley · NL Alliance4068.5%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$73,00017 of 40
Average rent
$9778 of 40
Renters
47.9%2 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
31.8%4 of 40
Median age
33.239 of 40
Over 65
11.5%38 of 40
Visible minority
17.0%1 of 40
Immigrants
7.8%4 of 40
Indigenous identity
4.2%17 of 40
Unemployment
12.3%27 of 40

Closest races, Northeast Avalon–St. John's

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.