Conception Bay South
MHA: Barry Calvin Petten · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.
Progressive Conservative93% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 44.2% projected vote93%
- Liberal · 34.1% projected vote7%
2025 result
- Barry Calvin Petten · Progressive Conservativeelected3,06056.5%
- Ken McDonald · Liberal2,04337.8%
- Rhonda Watkins · NL NDP3095.7%
- Margin
- 18.8%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 49.9%
- Registered
- 10,847
2021 result
The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.
- Barry Petten · Progressive Conservativeelected3,06357.1%
- Shelley L. Moores · Liberal1,94136.2%
- Andrew Lovell · NL NDP2254.2%
- Warrick Butler · NL Alliance1362.5%
2019 result
- Barry Petten · Progressive Conservativeelected3,44762.5%
- Kevin Baker · Liberal1,25622.8%
- Warrick Butler · NL Alliance81014.7%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.
- Median household income
- $91,0008 of 40
- Average rent
- $1,0196 of 40
- Renters
- 18.9%20 of 40
- Bachelor's or higher
- 15.7%15 of 40
- Median age
- 42.933 of 40
- Over 65
- 17.4%32 of 40
- Visible minority
- 0.7%22 of 40
- Immigrants
- 1.3%21 of 40
- Indigenous identity
- 2.7%30 of 40
- Unemployment
- 11.3%31 of 40
Closest races, Northeast Avalon–St. John's
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.