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Northeast Avalon–St. John'sSwingUrban

Waterford Valley

MHA: Jamie Korab · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal64% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 43.5% projected vote64%
  • NL NDP · 41.0% projected vote36%

2025 result

  • Jamie Korab · Liberalelected2,52747.2%
  • David Thomlyn · Progressive Conservative1,46727.4%
  • Nicole Boland · NL NDP1,36025.4%
Margin
19.8%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
49.0%
Registered
10,918

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Tom Osborne · Liberalelected3,59266.8%
  • Michael Holden · Progressive Conservative1,34825.1%
  • Peter J. Young · NL NDP4388.1%

2019 result

  • Tom Osborne · Liberalelected3,48768.6%
  • Matthew Cooper · NL NDP1,59931.4%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$74,50016 of 40
Average rent
$95212 of 40
Renters
32.9%9 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
23.6%8 of 40
Median age
46.526 of 40
Over 65
22.4%25 of 40
Visible minority
2.9%9 of 40
Immigrants
3.4%9 of 40
Indigenous identity
1.7%36 of 40
Unemployment
12.1%28 of 40

Closest races, Northeast Avalon–St. John's

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.