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Northeast Avalon–St. John'sToss-upRural

Ferryland

MHA: Loyola O'Driscoll · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Progressive Conservative52% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 40.4% projected vote52%
  • Liberal · 39.9% projected vote48%

2025 result

  • Loyola O'Driscoll · Progressive Conservativeelected3,50752.7%
  • Cheryl O'Brien · Liberal2,90443.6%
  • Joshua Meadus · NL NDP2433.6%
Margin
9.1%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
61.8%
Registered
10,762

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Loyola O'Driscoll · Progressive Conservativeelected3,19752.3%
  • Cheryl O'Brien · Liberal2,69644.1%
  • Paul F. Murphy · NL NDP2163.5%

2019 result

  • Loyola O'Driscoll · Progressive Conservativeelected4,07460.6%
  • Janice M. Ryan · Liberal2,35035.0%
  • Chris Molloy · Independent3004.5%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$85,0009 of 40
Average rent
$95311 of 40
Renters
11.6%35 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
12.4%20 of 40
Median age
48.523 of 40
Over 65
22.4%26 of 40
Visible minority
0.4%29 of 40
Immigrants
0.8%31 of 40
Indigenous identity
1.9%34 of 40
Unemployment
14.6%23 of 40

Closest races, Northeast Avalon–St. John's

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.