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Western Newfoundland–Northern PeninsulaSafeRural

Stephenville–Port au Port

MHA: Tony Wakeham · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 63.9% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Tony Wakeham · Progressive Conservativeelected3,82076.3%
  • Jeff Young · Liberal1,04420.9%
  • Susan Jarvis · NL NDP1432.9%
Margin
55.4%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
53.2%
Registered
9,415

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Tony Wakeham · Progressive Conservativeelected2,48159.7%
  • Kevin Aylward · Liberal1,57437.9%
  • Jamie Ruby · NL NDP1032.5%

2019 result

  • Tony Wakeham · Progressive Conservativeelected2,51250.3%
  • John Finn · Liberal2,48149.7%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$53,00040 of 40
Average rent
$75228 of 40
Renters
33.9%8 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
10.6%22 of 40
Median age
52.914 of 40
Over 65
27.3%14 of 40
Visible minority
0.9%21 of 40
Immigrants
1.3%19 of 40
Indigenous identity
44.8%4 of 40
Unemployment
20.2%10 of 40

Closest races, Western Newfoundland–Northern Peninsula

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.