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Western Newfoundland–Northern PeninsulaSafeRural

Humber–Gros Morne

MHA: Mike Goosney · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Progressive Conservative96% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 45.7% projected vote96%
  • Liberal · 33.8% projected vote4%

2025 result

  • Mike Goosney · Progressive Conservativeelected3,23958.1%
  • Helen Reid · Liberal2,09037.5%
  • Rebecca Brushett · NL NDP2474.4%
Margin
20.6%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
57.6%
Registered
9,679

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Andrew Furey · Liberalelected2,83864.0%
  • Jim Goudie · Progressive Conservative1,49233.6%
  • Sheina Lerman · NL NDP1072.4%

2019 result

  • Dwight W. Ball · Liberalelected4,24769.9%
  • Greg Osmond · Progressive Conservative1,82530.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$62,00029 of 40
Average rent
$77927 of 40
Renters
16.9%23 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
8.5%27 of 40
Median age
55.57 of 40
Over 65
31.4%4 of 40
Visible minority
0.6%25 of 40
Immigrants
1.1%25 of 40
Indigenous identity
14.4%9 of 40
Unemployment
23.6%5 of 40

Closest races, Western Newfoundland–Northern Peninsula

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.