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Western Newfoundland–Northern PeninsulaSwingRural

St. George's–Humber

MHA: Hal Cormier · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal68% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 41.6% projected vote68%
  • Progressive Conservative · 38.4% projected vote32%

2025 result

  • Hal Cormier · Progressive Conservativeelected2,64850.7%
  • Mark Lamswood · Liberal2,36645.3%
  • Jim McKeown · NL NDP2084.0%
Margin
5.4%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
55.1%
Registered
9,468

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Scott Reid · Liberalelected2,42058.5%
  • Gary W. Bishop · Progressive Conservative1,47435.7%
  • Melissa Lindsey Samms · NL NDP1914.6%
  • Shane Snook · NL Alliance491.2%

2019 result

  • Scott Reid · Liberalelected2,69150.2%
  • Tom O'Brien · Progressive Conservative2,16340.3%
  • Shane Snook · NL Alliance5109.5%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$66,50021 of 40
Average rent
$83922 of 40
Renters
15.7%27 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
16.1%14 of 40
Median age
51.717 of 40
Over 65
26.9%17 of 40
Visible minority
0.7%23 of 40
Immigrants
1.3%18 of 40
Indigenous identity
32.4%6 of 40
Unemployment
18.9%13 of 40

Closest races, Western Newfoundland–Northern Peninsula

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.