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Northeast Avalon–St. John'sSafeUrban

Windsor Lake

MHA: John Hogan · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal>99% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 65.6% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • John Hogan · Liberalelected3,42469.3%
  • Deanne Stapleton · Progressive Conservative1,05221.3%
  • Marcia Porter · NL NDP4679.4%
Margin
48.0%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
47.3%
Registered
10,450

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • John Hogan · Liberalelected2,68850.6%
  • Ches Crosbie · Progressive Conservative2,15440.5%
  • Tomás Shea · NL NDP4728.9%

2019 result

  • Ches Crosbie · Progressive Conservativeelected2,64448.7%
  • Bob Osborne · Liberal2,08838.5%
  • Tomás Shea · NL NDP69612.8%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$93,0007 of 40
Average rent
$1,0684 of 40
Renters
32.0%10 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
38.8%2 of 40
Median age
40.635 of 40
Over 65
17.3%33 of 40
Visible minority
13.8%2 of 40
Immigrants
11.2%1 of 40
Indigenous identity
3.1%25 of 40
Unemployment
11.8%29 of 40

Closest races, Northeast Avalon–St. John's

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.