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Avalon–BurinSafeRural

Harbour Grace–Port de Grave

MHA: Pam Parsons · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal>99% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 57.8% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Pam Parsons · Liberalelected3,75059.2%
  • Walter Yetman · Progressive Conservative2,24135.4%
  • Alison Coffin · Independent2333.7%
  • Darian Vincent · NL NDP1101.7%
Margin
23.8%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
59.2%
Registered
10,695

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Pam Parsons · Liberalelected3,40471.1%
  • Roy Sparkes · Progressive Conservative1,16924.4%
  • Dion Hynes · NL NDP2154.5%

2019 result

  • Pam Parsons · Liberalelected3,75852.4%
  • Glenn Littlejohn · Progressive Conservative3,40847.6%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$65,00023 of 40
Average rent
$84221 of 40
Renters
15.7%26 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
10.5%23 of 40
Median age
49.820 of 40
Over 65
25.5%20 of 40
Visible minority
0.2%34 of 40
Immigrants
0.4%35 of 40
Indigenous identity
1.6%37 of 40
Unemployment
17.7%18 of 40

Closest races, Avalon–Burin

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.