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Avalon–BurinSafeRural

Burin–Grand Bank

MHA: Paul A. Pike · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal92% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 45.4% projected vote92%
  • Progressive Conservative · 35.7% projected vote8%

2025 result

  • Paul A. Pike · Liberalelected2,43849.1%
  • Jamie Archibald Engram · Progressive Conservative2,38448.0%
  • Tori Locke · NL NDP1412.8%
Margin
1.1%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
58.0%
Registered
8,556

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Paul Pike · Liberalelected2,66659.6%
  • Fred R. Dodge · Progressive Conservative1,63936.6%
  • Alvin Banfield · NL NDP1693.8%

2019 result

  • Carol Anne Haley · Liberalelected2,82251.6%
  • Bill Matthews · Progressive Conservative2,64548.4%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$61,00030 of 40
Average rent
$70136 of 40
Renters
12.2%33 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
6.1%36 of 40
Median age
55.19 of 40
Over 65
31.1%7 of 40
Visible minority
0.2%32 of 40
Immigrants
0.2%38 of 40
Indigenous identity
1.5%38 of 40
Unemployment
18.3%16 of 40

Closest races, Avalon–Burin

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.