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Northeast Avalon–St. John'sSafeUrban

Mount Pearl–Southlands

MHA: Paul Lane · Independent

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Independent>99% chance of winning

  • Independent · 52.4% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Paul Lane · Independentelected3,36156.7%
  • Sarah Furlong · Liberal1,68228.4%
  • Bryan F. Robbins · Progressive Conservative66611.2%
  • Brenda Walsh · NL NDP2173.7%
Margin
28.3%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
51.3%
Registered
11,556

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Paul Lane · Independentelected3,44559.6%
  • Karla Hayward · Liberal1,38624.0%
  • Cindy Grant · Progressive Conservative79713.8%
  • Cara Krista Winsor · NL NDP1522.6%

2019 result

  • Paul Lane · Independentelected2,82343.8%
  • Hasan Hai · Liberal1,82628.3%
  • Gillian Pearson · Progressive Conservative1,59024.6%
  • David Brake · NL NDP2143.3%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$95,0006 of 40
Average rent
$9937 of 40
Renters
21.7%15 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
24.0%7 of 40
Median age
43.629 of 40
Over 65
18.2%31 of 40
Visible minority
1.8%14 of 40
Immigrants
1.3%22 of 40
Indigenous identity
2.8%26 of 40
Unemployment
8.9%38 of 40

Closest races, Northeast Avalon–St. John's

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.