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CardiganToss-upRural
Belfast-Murray River
MLA: Darlene Compton · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.
Green55% chance of winning
- Green · 33.4% projected vote55%
- Liberal · 31.3% projected vote32%
- Progressive Conservative · 26.9% projected vote13%
2023 result
- Darlene Compton · Progressive Conservativeelected1,51058.7%
- Katherine Bryson · Liberal52020.2%
- Laverne MacInnis · Green41916.3%
- Michelle Hodgson · PEI NDP1244.8%
- Margin
- 38.5%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 65.4%
- Registered
- 3,933
2019 result
- Darlene Compton · Progressive Conservativeelected1,54552.5%
- James Sanders · Green78126.6%
- Ian MacPherson · Liberal61520.9%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.
- Median household income
- $71,90516 of 27
- Average rent
- $68926 of 27
- Renters
- 9.5%26 of 27
- Bachelor's or higher
- 15.3%19 of 27
- Median age
- 46.111 of 27
- Over 65
- 22.7%11 of 27
- Speak French
- 6.5%26 of 27
- Immigrants
- 4.8%15 of 27
- Indigenous identity
- 2.3%7 of 27
- Unemployment
- 11.6%7 of 27
Closest races in Cardigan
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.