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CardiganLeanRural

Georgetown-Pownal

MLA: Brendan Curran · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Progressive Conservative83% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 38.9% projected vote83%
  • Green · 30.5% projected vote16%
  • Liberal · 23.9% projected vote1%

2025 by-election

Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.

  • Brendan J. Curran · Progressive Conservativeelected98646.8%
  • Robert Mitchell · Liberal88141.8%
  • Eddie Childs · Green2009.5%
  • Kevin Trainor · PEI NDP401.9%

2023 result

  • Steven Myers · Progressive Conservativeelected1,96169.8%
  • Patrick Brothers · Green35212.5%
  • Allister Veinot · Liberal34012.1%
  • Edith Perry · PEI NDP792.8%
  • Lucy Robbins · Other782.8%
Margin
57.3%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
73.0%
Registered
3,850

2019 result

  • Steven Myers · Progressive Conservativeelected1,49348.6%
  • Susan Hartley · Green86528.2%
  • Kevin Doyle · Liberal66321.6%
  • Edith Perry · PEI NDP491.6%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$74,73614 of 27
Average rent
$75422 of 27
Renters
13.1%22 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
14.2%21 of 27
Median age
43.718 of 27
Over 65
19.1%20 of 27
Speak French
8.0%22 of 27
Immigrants
3.1%24 of 27
Indigenous identity
1.3%16 of 27
Unemployment
10.7%12 of 27

Closest races in Cardigan

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.