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CardiganLeanRural

Montague-Kilmuir

MLA: Cory Deagle · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Progressive Conservative83% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 40.4% projected vote83%
  • Green · 32.3% projected vote17%
  • Liberal · 22.1% projected vote<1%

2023 result

  • Cory Deagle · Progressive Conservativeelected1,84770.2%
  • Norma Dingwell · Green37914.4%
  • Nick Sheppard · Liberal27110.3%
  • Angela Reine Barton · Independent582.2%
  • Robert Lethbridge · PEI NDP381.4%
  • Gary Robbins · Other381.4%
Margin
55.8%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
66.7%
Registered
3,945

2019 result

  • Cory Deagle · Progressive Conservativeelected1,37346.4%
  • Daphne Griffin · Liberal78526.6%
  • John Allen MacLean · Green67522.8%
  • Billy Cann · PEI NDP1244.2%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$62,83625 of 27
Average rent
$80719 of 27
Renters
30.0%9 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
15.1%20 of 27
Median age
45.213 of 27
Over 65
23.4%7 of 27
Speak French
8.9%21 of 27
Immigrants
5.6%12 of 27
Indigenous identity
2.4%5 of 27
Unemployment
11.9%6 of 27

Closest races in Cardigan

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.