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CardiganSafeRural
Souris-Elmira
MLA: Robin Croucher · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.
Green98% chance of winning
- Green · 43.5% projected vote98%
- Liberal · 28.0% projected vote1%
- Progressive Conservative · 23.8% projected vote1%
2023 result
- Robin Croucher · Progressive Conservativeelected1,59355.4%
- Boyd Leard · Green75726.3%
- Amber Dennis · Liberal48116.7%
- Gordon Gay · PEI NDP291.0%
- Ahava Kálnássy de Kálnás · Other160.6%
- Margin
- 29.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 75.5%
- Registered
- 3,811
2019 result
- Colin LaVie · Progressive Conservativeelected1,34744.7%
- Tommy Kickham · Liberal86128.6%
- Boyd Leard · Green80426.7%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.
- Median household income
- $69,50220 of 27
- Average rent
- $65327 of 27
- Renters
- 16.6%17 of 27
- Bachelor's or higher
- 12.3%23 of 27
- Median age
- 50.11 of 27
- Over 65
- 25.3%3 of 27
- Speak French
- 7.1%25 of 27
- Immigrants
- 2.4%27 of 27
- Indigenous identity
- 2.8%3 of 27
- Unemployment
- 10.7%11 of 27
Closest races in Cardigan
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.