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Vancouver IslandLeanRural
Courtenay-Comox
Incumbent: Brennan Day · Conservative
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative84% chance of winning
- Conservative · Brennan Day (incumbent)84%
- BC NDP · Will Cole-Hamilton16%
- BC Green · Jay Van Oostdam
- CentreBC · Jason Cook
2024 result
- Brennan Dayelected13,48138.8%
- Ronna-Rae Leonard13,38838.6%
- Arzeena Hamir7,20220.7%
- John Hedican5041.4%
- Devin Howell1430.4%
- Margin
- 0.3%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 68.6%
- Registered
- 50,583
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Ronna-Rae Leonardelected14,38248.9%
- Brennan Day8,48428.8%
- Gillian Anderson5,56418.9%
- Josie Osborne5531.9%
- Evan Jolicoeur2360.8%
- Helen Poon1360.5%
- Nicholas Simons250.1%
- Graham Hughes170.1%
- Kim Darwin150.1%
- Robert Alexander Clarke110.0%
- Sandra Stoddart-Hansen70.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2455%
- 25-3453%
- 35-4462%
- 45-5466%
- 55-6472%
- 65-7480%
- 75+76%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $78,00065 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,25467 of 93
- Renters
- 23.4%63 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 21.8%54 of 93
- Median age
- 50.89 of 93
- Over 65
- 28.6%8 of 93
- Immigrants
- 12.6%72 of 93
- Visible minority
- 5.9%80 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 7.4%22 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.1%59 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.