Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
MPP: Michael Parsa · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 52.9% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Michael Parsa · Progressive Conservativeelected19,67057.2%
- Jason Cherniak · Liberal11,64533.9%
- Naila Saeed · Ontario NDP1,9295.6%
- Ikram Kahn · Green6101.8%
- Rosaria Wiseman · Other5401.6%
- Margin
- 23.3%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 38.0%
- Registered
- 90,385
2022 result
- Michael Parsa · Progressive Conservativeelected17,34053.3%
- Marjan Kasirlou · Liberal10,00030.7%
- Reza Pourzad · Ontario NDP2,5017.7%
- Kevin Zheng · Green1,2683.9%
- Catherine Dellerba · Other7322.3%
- Rosaria Wiseman · Other6492.0%
- Igor Strelkov · Other690.2%
2018 result
- Michael Parsa · Progressive Conservativeelected25,21456.0%
- Naheed Yaqubian · Liberal9,71821.6%
- Katrina Sale · Ontario NDP8,11618.0%
- Stephanie Nicole Duncan · Green1,1952.7%
- Serge Korovitsyn · Other3130.7%
- Santiago Amesh Desilva · Other2180.5%
- Margarita Barsky · Other860.2%
- Janusz Butylkin · Other710.2%
- Abu Alam · Other670.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $123,0009 of 124
- Average rent
- $2,1683 of 124
- Renters
- 15.2%110 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 44.4%16 of 124
- Median age
- 42.451 of 124
- Over 65
- 13.9%112 of 124
- Immigrants
- 51.8%22 of 124
- Visible minority
- 59.2%25 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.3%116 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.5%53 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.