Mississauga—Lakeshore
MPP: Rudy Cuzzetto · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal51% chance of winning
- Liberal · 43.7% projected vote51%
- Progressive Conservative · 43.5% projected vote49%
2025 result
- Rudy Cuzzetto · Progressive Conservativeelected20,58647.5%
- Elizabeth Mendes · Liberal18,91543.7%
- Spencer Yang Ki · Ontario NDP1,9744.6%
- Julia Budahazy · Green1,0412.4%
- Renata Cynarska · Other5491.3%
- Ayoub Bumbia · Independent1230.3%
- Oleksii Avdeiev · Other1130.3%
- Margin
- 3.9%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 45.9%
- Registered
- 94,277
2022 result
- Rudy Cuzzetto · Progressive Conservativeelected19,34145.1%
- Elizabeth Mendes · Liberal15,76836.8%
- Julia Kole · Ontario NDP3,6478.5%
- David Zeni · Green2,1605.0%
- Renata Cynarska · Other1,0142.4%
- George Cescon · Other5011.2%
- Brian Crombie · Other4591.1%
2018 result
- Rudy Cuzzetto · Progressive Conservativeelected22,52042.3%
- Charles Sousa · Liberal18,63635.0%
- Boris Rosolak · Ontario NDP9,73518.3%
- Lloyd Jones · Green1,5723.0%
- Kenny Robinson · Other3630.7%
- Jay Ward · Other2230.4%
- Felicia Trigiani · Other1500.3%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $104,00030 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,58038 of 124
- Renters
- 31.4%50 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 37.4%34 of 124
- Median age
- 44.037 of 124
- Over 65
- 19.5%54 of 124
- Immigrants
- 37.7%43 of 124
- Visible minority
- 35.0%48 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.8%89 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.3%58 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.