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Mississauga Centre

MPP: Natalia Kusendova · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative60% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 43.1% projected vote60%
  • Liberal · 41.5% projected vote40%

2025 result

  • Natalia Kusendova · Progressive Conservativeelected16,59246.8%
  • Sumira Malik · Liberal14,56141.1%
  • Waseem Ahmed · Ontario NDP2,3106.5%
  • Robert Chan · Green1,0282.9%
  • Audrey Simpson · Other4431.3%
  • Greg Vezina · Other3340.9%
  • Zulfiqar Ali · Independent1950.6%
Margin
5.7%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
37.8%
Registered
93,765

2022 result

  • Natalia Kusendova · Progressive Conservativeelected14,71943.6%
  • Sumira Malik · Liberal12,26036.3%
  • Sarah Walji · Ontario NDP4,14812.3%
  • Adriane Franklin · Green1,1883.5%
  • Audrey Simpson · Other5231.6%
  • Stephanie Wright · Other3321.0%
  • Greg Vezina · Other2880.8%
  • Elie Diab · Other1630.5%
  • Viktor Chornopyskyy · Other1370.4%

2018 result

  • Natalia Kusendova · Progressive Conservativeelected17,86040.9%
  • Laura Kaminker · Ontario NDP12,04627.6%
  • Bobbie Daid · Liberal11,10225.4%
  • Noah Gould · Green1,1492.6%
  • Alex Pacis · Other8902.0%
  • Farouk Giga · Other4711.1%
  • Viktor Chornopyskyy · Other1920.4%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$88,00057 of 124
Average rent
$1,78018 of 124
Renters
35.9%38 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
42.0%22 of 124
Median age
38.896 of 124
Over 65
17.0%76 of 124
Immigrants
61.0%4 of 124
Visible minority
74.5%14 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.4%111 of 124
Unemployment
14.6%20 of 124

Closest races in GTA

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.