Milton
MPP: Zee Hamid · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative62% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 43.8% projected vote62%
- Liberal · 41.9% projected vote38%
2025 result
- Zee Hamid · Progressive Conservativeelected20,09147.4%
- Kristina Tesser Derksen · Liberal17,55141.4%
- Katherine-Anne Cirlincione · Ontario NDP2,4035.7%
- Susan Doyle · Green1,1302.7%
- John Spina · Other8662.0%
- Mohsin Rizvi · Other3160.8%
- Margin
- 6.0%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 41.8%
- Registered
- 101,453
2024 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2025 general election instead; where a by-election since then changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Zee Hamid · Progressive Conservativeelected12,88047.0%
- Galen Naidoo Harris · Liberal10,47338.3%
- Edie Strachan · Ontario NDP1,8516.8%
- John Spina · Other1,1024.0%
- Kyle Hutton · Green7552.8%
- Frederick Weening · Other1110.4%
- Tony Walton · Other1010.4%
- John Turmel · Independent640.2%
- Arabella Vida · Independent420.1%
2022 result
- Parm Gill · Progressive Conservativeelected16,76643.1%
- Sameera Ali · Liberal15,08638.8%
- Katherine Cirlincione · Ontario NDP3,7779.7%
- Oriana Knox · Green1,6124.1%
- John Spina · Other1,5794.1%
- Masood Khan · Other1070.3%
2018 result
- Parm Gill · Progressive Conservativeelected18,24941.7%
- Indira Naidoo-Harris · Liberal13,06429.8%
- Brendan Smyth · Ontario NDP9,74022.2%
- Eleanor Hayward · Green2,2005.0%
- Benjamin Cunningham · Other3660.8%
- Enam Ahmed · Other1700.4%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $127,0005 of 124
- Average rent
- $2,0346 of 124
- Renters
- 17.1%100 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 40.5%24 of 124
- Median age
- 36.0118 of 124
- Over 65
- 10.3%121 of 124
- Immigrants
- 41.5%34 of 124
- Visible minority
- 54.0%29 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.7%93 of 124
- Unemployment
- 11.3%78 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.