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Brampton South

MPP: Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 49.3% projected vote>99%
  • Liberal · 33.2% projected vote<1%

2025 result

  • Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria · Progressive Conservativeelected15,37952.5%
  • Bhavik Parikh · Liberal9,53032.5%
  • Rajni Sharma · Ontario NDP2,4138.2%
  • Johnny Nolan · Other1,0423.6%
  • Rajinder Boyal · Green9113.1%
Margin
20.0%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
35.9%
Registered
81,573

2022 result

  • Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria · Progressive Conservativeelected12,98045.4%
  • Marilyn Raphael · Liberal7,95727.8%
  • Andria Barrett · Ontario NDP5,47519.1%
  • Ines Espinoza · Green1,0283.6%
  • Mike Mol · Other9743.4%
  • Mehdi Pakzad · Other1880.7%

2018 result

  • Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria · Progressive Conservativeelected15,65241.0%
  • Paramjit Gill · Ontario NDP12,91933.9%
  • Sukhwant Thethi · Liberal7,21218.9%
  • Lindsay Falt · Green1,4723.9%
  • Brian Watson · Other3630.9%
  • John Grant · Other3370.9%
  • Ted Harlson · Other2140.6%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$97,00041 of 124
Average rent
$1,45049 of 124
Renters
35.9%37 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
31.5%50 of 124
Median age
36.8116 of 124
Over 65
14.3%107 of 124
Immigrants
50.3%24 of 124
Visible minority
74.8%13 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.6%101 of 124
Unemployment
13.7%28 of 124

Closest races in GTA

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.