Durham
MPP: Todd McCarthy · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 47.1% projected vote>99%
- Liberal · 30.0% projected vote<1%
2025 result
- Todd McCarthy · Progressive Conservativeelected26,96750.5%
- Brad Jakobsen · Liberal15,70129.4%
- Chris Borgia · Ontario NDP7,63514.3%
- Sanjin Zeco · Green1,2802.4%
- James Leventakis · Other6661.3%
- Asif Khan · Other6351.2%
- Sheri Thurston · Other4090.8%
- Fawad Kiyani · Independent1300.2%
- Margin
- 21.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 43.8%
- Registered
- 122,049
2022 result
- Todd McCarthy · Progressive Conservativeelected22,61445.9%
- Granville Anderson · Liberal12,27624.9%
- Chris Borgia · Ontario NDP9,16818.6%
- Mini Batra · Green1,9814.0%
- Spencer Ford · Other1,8983.9%
- Tony Stravato · Independent6971.4%
- Lou Devuono · Other6861.4%
2018 result
- Lindsey Park · Progressive Conservativeelected28,57547.0%
- Joel Usher · Ontario NDP19,25331.7%
- Granville Anderson · Liberal10,23716.8%
- Michelle Corbett · Green2,3603.9%
- Ryan Robinson · Other3820.6%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $112,00023 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,72225 of 124
- Renters
- 16.8%106 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 22.6%74 of 124
- Median age
- 38.4100 of 124
- Over 65
- 14.9%102 of 124
- Immigrants
- 20.1%80 of 124
- Visible minority
- 25.6%67 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.3%52 of 124
- Unemployment
- 11.9%68 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.