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King—Vaughan

MPP: Stephen Lecce · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 60.0% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Stephen Lecce · Progressive Conservativeelected28,52764.2%
  • Gillian Vivona · Liberal12,45328.0%
  • Rick Morelli · Ontario NDP1,7143.9%
  • Ann Raney · Green9342.1%
  • Christopher Bressi · Other5691.3%
  • Maria Morgis · Other2560.6%
Margin
36.2%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
39.6%
Registered
112,129

2022 result

  • Stephen Lecce · Progressive Conservativeelected23,43957.3%
  • Gillian Vivona · Liberal11,65828.5%
  • Samantha Sanchez · Ontario NDP2,8406.9%
  • Michael Di Mascolo · Other1,4003.4%
  • Ren Guidolin · Green1,1042.7%
  • Neil Killips · Other3090.8%
  • Tatiana Babitch · Other1470.4%

2018 result

  • Stephen Lecce · Progressive Conservativeelected29,13656.6%
  • Marilyn Iafrate · Liberal12,01223.3%
  • Andrea Beal · Ontario NDP7,92115.4%
  • Greg Locke · Green1,7543.4%
  • Roman Evtukh · Other2520.5%
  • Yan Simkin · Other2350.5%
  • Tatiana Babitch · Other1510.3%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$138,0001 of 124
Average rent
$2,2002 of 124
Renters
11.8%121 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
36.3%38 of 124
Median age
39.293 of 124
Over 65
12.3%117 of 124
Immigrants
42.4%31 of 124
Visible minority
43.4%37 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.3%115 of 124
Unemployment
11.8%72 of 124

Closest races in GTA

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.