Markham—Thornhill
MPP: Logan Kanapathi · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative94% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 48.6% projected vote94%
- Liberal · 39.0% projected vote6%
2025 result
- Logan Kanapathi · Progressive Conservativeelected14,28753.6%
- Nirmala Armstrong · Liberal10,58039.7%
- Paul Sahbaz · Ontario NDP1,1764.4%
- Shane O'Brien · Green6232.3%
- Margin
- 13.9%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 37.0%
- Registered
- 72,174
2022 result
- Logan Kanapathi · Progressive Conservativeelected14,01148.8%
- Sandra Tam · Liberal10,76337.5%
- Matthew Henriques · Ontario NDP2,5979.1%
- Zane Abulail · Green7332.5%
- Jennifer Gleason · Other3761.3%
- Mansoor Qureshi · Other2190.8%
2018 result
- Logan Kanapathi · Progressive Conservativeelected18,94350.5%
- Juanita Nathan · Liberal9,16024.4%
- Cindy Hackelberg · Ontario NDP8,01021.3%
- Caryn Bergmann · Green8592.3%
- David Nadler · Other4081.1%
- Jeff Kuah · Independent1680.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $102,00036 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,60635 of 124
- Renters
- 15.8%108 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 32.5%47 of 124
- Median age
- 43.641 of 124
- Over 65
- 21.1%37 of 124
- Immigrants
- 63.3%3 of 124
- Visible minority
- 87.2%4 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.1%123 of 124
- Unemployment
- 16.1%11 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.