Mississauga—Erin Mills
MPP: Sheref Sabawy · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal73% chance of winning
- Liberal · 44.8% projected vote73%
- Progressive Conservative · 40.8% projected vote27%
2025 result
- Sheref Sabawy · Progressive Conservativeelected16,69444.3%
- Qasir Dar · Liberal16,67144.2%
- Mubashir Rizvi · Ontario NDP2,0905.5%
- Adriane Franklin · Green1,0802.9%
- Michael Bayer · Other7512.0%
- Michael Matulewicz · Independent3090.8%
- Sajid Hussain · Independent1220.3%
- Margin
- 0.1%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 40.2%
- Registered
- 93,863
2022 result
- Sheref Sabawy · Progressive Conservativeelected15,69342.1%
- Imran Mian · Liberal13,95437.5%
- Farina Hassan · Ontario NDP4,52112.1%
- Michelle Angkasa · Green1,5944.3%
- Charles Wroblewski · Other9782.6%
- Laura E. Scarangella · Other4951.3%
2018 result
- Sheref Sabawy · Progressive Conservativeelected19,63141.6%
- Farina Hassan · Ontario NDP13,02127.6%
- Imran Mian · Liberal11,96525.4%
- Libby Yuill · Green1,2962.8%
- Grzegorz Nowacki · Other6701.4%
- Pieter Liem · Other4831.0%
- Ben Skura · Other1120.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $113,00022 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,95810 of 124
- Renters
- 23.1%74 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 44.4%17 of 124
- Median age
- 40.085 of 124
- Over 65
- 15.3%95 of 124
- Immigrants
- 56.4%12 of 124
- Visible minority
- 69.3%18 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.4%109 of 124
- Unemployment
- 14.2%24 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.