Oshawa
MPP: Jennifer French · Ontario NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP96% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 48.6% projected vote96%
- Progressive Conservative · 37.5% projected vote4%
2025 result
- Jennifer French · Ontario NDPelected20,36745.9%
- Jerry J. Ouellette · Progressive Conservative18,44241.5%
- Viresh Bansal · Liberal3,8918.8%
- Nicholas Sirgool · Green9162.1%
- Joe Ingino · Other6441.4%
- Rahul Padmini Soumian · Independent1420.3%
- Margin
- 4.3%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 41.4%
- Registered
- 107,185
2022 result
- Jennifer French · Ontario NDPelected17,17042.1%
- Alex Down · Progressive Conservative16,42340.2%
- Catherine Mosca · Liberal3,7269.1%
- Katarina Dunham · Green1,6414.0%
- Daryl Janssen · Other1,0062.5%
- Dave Forsythe · Other8432.1%
2018 result
- Jennifer French · Ontario NDPelected24,30144.9%
- Bob Chapman · Progressive Conservative22,59441.7%
- Makini Smith · Liberal4,2787.9%
- Deborah Ellis · Green1,9573.6%
- Jeannette Gory · Other5231.0%
- Cheryl Kelly · Other4900.9%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $79,50089 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,31270 of 124
- Renters
- 38.9%32 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 15.9%105 of 124
- Median age
- 41.660 of 124
- Over 65
- 18.9%60 of 124
- Immigrants
- 18.5%83 of 124
- Visible minority
- 21.6%76 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.5%32 of 124
- Unemployment
- 15.4%14 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.