Pickering—Uxbridge
MPP: Peter Bethlenfalvy · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative76% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 44.1% projected vote76%
- Liberal · 39.7% projected vote24%
2025 result
- Peter Bethlenfalvy · Progressive Conservativeelected21,97548.1%
- Ibrahim Daniyal · Liberal18,07239.5%
- Khalid Ahmed · Ontario NDP3,3817.4%
- Mini Batra · Green1,3002.8%
- Adrian Nolan · Other4110.9%
- Victoria Devenport · Other3840.8%
- Mansoor Qureshi · Other1270.3%
- Netalia Duboisky · Other730.2%
- Margin
- 8.5%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 45.5%
- Registered
- 100,493
2022 result
- Peter Bethlenfalvy · Progressive Conservativeelected19,20844.4%
- Ibrahim Daniyal · Liberal12,34528.6%
- Khalid Ahmed · Ontario NDP6,93416.0%
- Julia Rondinone · Green2,2665.2%
- Lisa Robinson · Other1,7904.1%
- Elizabeth Tallis · Other5431.3%
- Hasan Syed · Other760.2%
- Netalia Duboisky · Other700.2%
2018 result
- Peter Bethlenfalvy · Progressive Conservativeelected22,44742.2%
- Nerissa Cariño · Ontario NDP17,03332.0%
- Ibrahim Daniyal · Liberal10,85120.4%
- Adam Narraway · Green2,1054.0%
- Brendan Reilly · Other2730.5%
- William Myers · Independent1940.4%
- Netalia Duboisky · Other1110.2%
- Michelle Francis · Other960.2%
- Eric Sivadas · Independent830.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $118,00019 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,68630 of 124
- Renters
- 15.0%111 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 30.0%55 of 124
- Median age
- 41.662 of 124
- Over 65
- 17.4%72 of 124
- Immigrants
- 32.2%48 of 124
- Visible minority
- 44.0%35 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.2%80 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.1%65 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.