Thornhill
MPP: Laura Smith · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 59.9% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Laura Smith · Progressive Conservativeelected22,82964.0%
- Ben Dooley · Liberal10,10528.3%
- Faiz Qureshi · Ontario NDP1,2823.6%
- Marcelo Levy · Green7682.1%
- Luca Mele · Other5231.5%
- Aleksei Polyakov · Other1700.5%
- Margin
- 35.7%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 39.5%
- Registered
- 90,296
2022 result
- Laura Smith · Progressive Conservativeelected18,39553.3%
- Laura Mirabella · Liberal10,24729.7%
- Jasleen Kambo · Ontario NDP2,6987.8%
- Daniella Mikanovsky · Green1,1553.4%
- Yakov Zarkhine · Other9312.7%
- Igor Tvorogov · Other3511.0%
- Jacob Joel Ginsberg · Independent2610.8%
- Hiten Patel · Other1950.6%
- Aleksei Polyakov · Other1050.3%
- Brandon Ying · Independent1000.3%
- Roman Pesis · Other840.2%
2018 result
- Gila Martow · Progressive Conservativeelected28,88961.1%
- Ezra Tanen · Ontario NDP9,13419.3%
- Sabi Ahsan · Liberal6,98514.8%
- Rachel Dokhoian · Green1,0432.2%
- Mike Holmes · Other6211.3%
- Above Znoneofthe · Other4100.9%
- Aleksei Polyakov · Other1770.4%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $104,00033 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,88213 of 124
- Renters
- 21.9%78 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 46.0%12 of 124
- Median age
- 44.038 of 124
- Over 65
- 20.1%47 of 124
- Immigrants
- 52.2%20 of 124
- Visible minority
- 42.8%38 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.3%119 of 124
- Unemployment
- 13.2%38 of 124
Closest races in GTA
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.