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Whitby

MPP: Lorne Coe · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative76% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 43.9% projected vote76%
  • Liberal · 39.6% projected vote24%

2025 result

  • Lorne Coe · Progressive Conservativeelected24,80348.1%
  • Roger Gordon · Liberal20,44039.6%
  • Jamie Nye · Ontario NDP4,0978.0%
  • Steven Toman · Green1,3762.7%
  • Ralph Blank · Other8441.6%
Margin
8.5%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
45.9%
Registered
112,402

2022 result

  • Lorne Coe · Progressive Conservativeelected21,84047.4%
  • Sara Labelle · Ontario NDP10,52422.8%
  • Aadil Mohammed · Liberal9,55620.7%
  • Stephanie Leblanc · Green2,3975.2%
  • Trystan Lackner · Other9032.0%
  • Emil Labaj · Other5191.1%
  • Douglas Thom · Other1970.4%
  • Christopher Rinella · Independent1680.4%

2018 result

  • Lorne Coe · Progressive Conservativeelected26,47145.8%
  • Niki Lundquist · Ontario NDP21,15836.6%
  • Leisa Washington · Liberal7,44112.9%
  • Stacey Leadbetter · Green1,9583.4%
  • Ronald Halabi · Other5220.9%
  • Doug Thom · Other2460.4%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$123,00011 of 124
Average rent
$1,53643 of 124
Renters
17.9%91 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
30.2%54 of 124
Median age
40.087 of 124
Over 65
14.8%105 of 124
Immigrants
27.8%58 of 124
Visible minority
35.4%45 of 124
Indigenous identity
1.5%70 of 124
Unemployment
12.3%60 of 124

Closest races in GTA

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.