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Northwest/ParklandSafeRural
Dauphin
MLA: Ron Kostyshyn · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 61.8% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Ron Kostyshyn · Manitoba NDPelected4,88752.1%
- Gord Wood · Progressive Conservative4,50147.9%
- Margin
- 4.1%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 59.6%
- Registered
- 15,747
2019 result
- Brad Michaleski · Progressive Conservativeelected4,80550.5%
- Darcy Scheller · Manitoba NDP4,03242.4%
- Cathy Scofield-Singh · Liberal6757.1%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $61,20053 of 57
- Renters
- 24.7%33 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 10.5%52 of 57
- Median age
- 41.616 of 57
- Over 65
- 21.7%9 of 57
- Visible minority
- 3.2%49 of 57
- Immigrants
- 4.3%54 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 37.9%5 of 57
- Unemployment
- 8.6%23 of 57
Closest races, Northwest/Parkland
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.