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Northwest/ParklandSafeRural

Flin Flon

MLA: Tom Lindsey · Manitoba NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.

Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Manitoba NDP · 84.4% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Tom Lindsey · Manitoba NDPelected2,95176.3%
  • Charlotte Larocque · Progressive Conservative91923.8%
Margin
52.5%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
43.8%
Registered
8,832

2019 result

  • Tom Lindsey · Manitoba NDPelected3,17363.2%
  • Theresa Wride · Progressive Conservative1,35727.0%
  • James Lindsay · Liberal2996.0%
  • Saara Murnick · Green1923.8%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.

Median household income
$78,50031 of 57
Renters
22.6%35 of 57
Bachelor's or higher
9.1%55 of 57
Median age
30.055 of 57
Over 65
10.1%54 of 57
Visible minority
2.0%55 of 57
Immigrants
1.8%56 of 57
Indigenous identity
71.6%3 of 57
Unemployment
12.7%5 of 57

Statistics Canada did not complete the 2021 count on reserves in this division (Brochet 197; Churchill 1; Granville Lake; Pukatawagan 198), so its population and Indigenous share are undercounts.

Closest races, Northwest/Parkland

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.