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Northwest/ParklandLeanRural
Swan River
MLA: Rick Wowchuk · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative86% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 52.3% projected vote86%
- Manitoba NDP · 45.2% projected vote14%
2023 result
- Rick Wowchuk · Progressive Conservativeelected4,80162.9%
- Andy Maxwell · Manitoba NDP2,43331.9%
- Don McKenna · Keystone3975.2%
- Margin
- 31.0%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 56.9%
- Registered
- 13,409
2019 result
- Rick Wowchuk · Progressive Conservativeelected5,54668.9%
- Shelley Wiggins · Manitoba NDP2,08425.9%
- David Teffaine · Liberal4235.3%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $60,80054 of 57
- Renters
- 20.9%39 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 9.8%53 of 57
- Median age
- 41.219 of 57
- Over 65
- 20.9%11 of 57
- Visible minority
- 3.5%47 of 57
- Immigrants
- 4.5%53 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 34.6%7 of 57
- Unemployment
- 6.8%43 of 57
Closest races, Northwest/Parkland
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.