The Pas-Kameesak
MLA: Jennifer Flett · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 73.4% projected vote>99%
2026 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Jennifer Flett · Manitoba NDPelected2,63074.8%
- Edna Nabess · Progressive Conservative61817.6%
- Dan Quesnel · Liberal1654.7%
- Wally Daudrich · Keystone1053.0%
2023 result
- Amanda Lathlin · Manitoba NDPelected3,52267.2%
- Alan McLauchlan · Progressive Conservative1,50628.7%
- Alvina Rundle · Liberal2154.1%
- Margin
- 38.5%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 53.3%
- Registered
- 9,834
2019 result
- Amanda Lathlin · Manitoba NDPelected3,18057.9%
- Ron Evans · Progressive Conservative1,33624.3%
- Ralph McLean · Green79014.4%
- Ken Brandt · Liberal1863.4%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $73,50036 of 57
- Renters
- 20.0%40 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 11.2%50 of 57
- Median age
- 30.654 of 57
- Over 65
- 11.4%51 of 57
- Visible minority
- 2.4%54 of 57
- Immigrants
- 2.3%55 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 79.7%2 of 57
- Unemployment
- 16.5%2 of 57
Closest races, Northwest/Parkland
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.