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Northwest/ParklandLeanRural
Riding Mountain
MLA: Greg Nesbitt · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative84% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 51.0% projected vote84%
- Manitoba NDP · 44.7% projected vote16%
2023 result
- Greg Nesbitt · Progressive Conservativeelected5,64463.0%
- Wayne Chacun · Manitoba NDP2,89532.3%
- Eileen Smerchanski · Liberal4174.7%
- Margin
- 30.7%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 56.9%
- Registered
- 15,730
2019 result
- Greg Nesbitt · Progressive Conservativeelected6,12665.9%
- Wayne Chacun · Manitoba NDP1,97021.2%
- Mary Lowe · Green7267.8%
- Jordan Fleury · Liberal4725.1%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $70,00043 of 57
- Renters
- 16.4%47 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 12.7%46 of 57
- Median age
- 43.212 of 57
- Over 65
- 22.3%8 of 57
- Visible minority
- 3.1%50 of 57
- Immigrants
- 5.3%51 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 19.3%13 of 57
- Unemployment
- 5.9%47 of 57
Closest races, Northwest/Parkland
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.