Divisions
All 57 provincial electoral divisions. Each row shows who is projected to win it and with what confidence; the 2023 margin follows.
Projected on the 57 electoral divisions of the 2018 map, used in 2019 and 2023 and in force for the 2027 election. The next boundaries commission sits in 2028, and its map takes effect only at a later dissolution.
Winnipeg 32 seats
- AssiniboiaNellie Kennedy · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%9.7%Safe
- BurrowsDiljeet Brar · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%14.6%Safe
- ConcordiaMatt Wiebe · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%36.4%Safe
- ElmwoodJim Maloway · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%34.6%Safe
- Fort GarryMark Wasyliw · IndependentNDPflip93%32.2%Safe
- Fort RichmondJennifer Chen · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%19.3%Safe
- Fort RougeWab Kinew · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%54.2%Safe
- Fort WhyteObby Khan · IndependentLiberalflip43%10.8%Toss-up
- Kildonan-River EastRachelle Schott · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%6.4%Safe
- Kirkfield ParkLogan Oxenham · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%5.8%Safe
- LagimodièreTyler Blashko · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%0.9%Safe
- McPhillipsJD Devgan · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%3.1%Safe
- Notre DameMalaya Marcelino · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%61.1%Safe
- Point DouglasBernadette Smith · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%57.1%Safe
- RadissonJelynn Dela Cruz · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%10.1%Safe
- RielMike Moyes · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%16.7%Safe
- River HeightsMike Moroz · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%5.6%Safe
- RoblinKathleen Cook · Progressive ConservativeNDPflip99%9.2%Safe
- RossmereTracy Schmidt · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%8.4%Safe
- Seine RiverBillie Cross · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%13.6%Safe
- SouthdaleRenée Cable · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%14.3%Safe
- St. BonifaceRobert Loiselle · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%20.8%Safe
- St. JamesAdrien Sala · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%37.1%Safe
- St. JohnsNahanni Fontaine · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%44.8%Safe
- St. VitalJamie Moses · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%31.8%Safe
- The MaplesMintu Sandhu · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%33.4%Safe
- TransconaShannon Corbett · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%23.1%Safe
- TuxedoCarla Compton · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%2.7%Safe
- Tyndall ParkCindy Lamoureux · LiberalLiberal94%29.0%Safe
- Union StationUzoma Asagwara · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%53.3%Safe
- WaverleyDavid Pankratz · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%1.3%Safe
- WolseleyLisa Naylor · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%65.5%Safe
East 9 seats
- Dawson TrailBob Lagassé · IndependentNDPflip>99%6.0%Safe
- Interlake-GimliDerek Johnson · Progressive ConservativeNDPflip>99%6.6%Safe
- La VérendryeKonrad Narth · Progressive ConservativePC>99%40.3%Safe
- Lac du BonnetWayne Ewasko · Progressive ConservativeNDPflip68%22.9%Swing
- LakesideTrevor King · Progressive ConservativePC95%34.5%Safe
- Red River NorthJeff Wharton · Progressive ConservativeNDPflip73%20.7%Swing
- SelkirkRichard Perchotte · Progressive ConservativeNDPflip>99%5.0%Safe
- Springfield-RitchotRon Schuler · Progressive ConservativeNDPflip83%18.4%Lean
- SteinbachKelvin Goertzen · Progressive ConservativePC>99%58.9%Safe
Northwest/Parkland 8 seats
- AgassizJodie Byram · Progressive ConservativePC>99%41.9%Safe
- DauphinRon Kostyshyn · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%4.1%Safe
- Flin FlonTom Lindsey · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%52.5%Safe
- KeewatinookIan Bushie · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%24.8%Safe
- Riding MountainGreg Nesbitt · Progressive ConservativePC84%30.7%Lean
- Swan RiverRick Wowchuk · Progressive ConservativePC86%31.0%Lean
- The Pas-KameesakJennifer Flett · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%38.5%Safe
- ThompsonEric Redhead · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%39.6%Safe
Southwest/South 8 seats
- BorderlandJosh Guenter · Progressive ConservativePC>99%57.7%Safe
- Brandon EastGlen Simard · Manitoba NDPNDP>99%15.8%Safe
- Brandon WestWayne Balcaen · Progressive ConservativeNDPflip>99%1.1%Safe
- MidlandLauren Stone · Progressive ConservativePC>99%47.0%Safe
- Morden-WinklerCarrie Hiebert · Progressive ConservativePC>99%50.6%Safe
- Portage la PrairieJeff Bereza · Progressive ConservativePC83%29.6%Lean
- Spruce WoodsColleen Robbins · Progressive ConservativePC98%37.8%Safe
- Turtle MountainDoyle Piwniuk · Progressive ConservativePC85%32.2%Lean
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba.