← Map
WinnipegSafeUrban
Riel
MLA: Mike Moyes · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 67.3% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Mike Moyes · Manitoba NDPelected6,16054.6%
- Rochelle Squires · Progressive Conservative4,27838.0%
- LéAmber Kensley · Liberal8347.4%
- Margin
- 16.7%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 65.2%
- Registered
- 17,291
2019 result
- Rochelle Squires · Progressive Conservativeelected4,73444.8%
- Mike Moyes · Manitoba NDP3,74435.4%
- Neil Johnston · Liberal1,47113.9%
- Roger Schellenberg · Green6306.0%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $90,00019 of 57
- Renters
- 23.0%34 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 29.8%13 of 57
- Median age
- 44.410 of 57
- Over 65
- 23.1%7 of 57
- Visible minority
- 25.2%21 of 57
- Immigrants
- 21.6%24 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 9.6%39 of 57
- Unemployment
- 8.1%29 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.