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Waverley

MLA: David Pankratz · Manitoba NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.

Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Manitoba NDP · 57.7% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • David Pankratz · Manitoba NDPelected4,06344.1%
  • Jon Reyes · Progressive Conservative3,94842.9%
  • Uche Nwankwo · Liberal1,00110.9%
  • Manjit Kaur · Green2012.2%
Margin
1.3%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
53.8%
Registered
17,111

2019 result

  • Jon Reyes · Progressive Conservativeelected3,26750.0%
  • Dashi Zargani · Manitoba NDP1,86728.6%
  • Fiona Haftani · Liberal1,07016.4%
  • James Ducas · Green3245.0%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.

Median household income
$92,00018 of 57
Renters
33.4%18 of 57
Bachelor's or higher
43.2%3 of 57
Median age
31.052 of 57
Over 65
6.9%56 of 57
Visible minority
65.2%3 of 57
Immigrants
43.5%4 of 57
Indigenous identity
4.4%55 of 57
Unemployment
9.3%16 of 57

Closest races, Winnipeg

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.