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WinnipegSafeUrban
Fort Garry
MLA: Mark Wasyliw · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP93% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 59.2% projected vote93%
- Independent · 13.1% projected vote7%
2023 result
- Mark Wasyliw · Manitoba NDPelected5,31958.8%
- Rick Shone · Progressive Conservative2,40526.6%
- Shandi Strong · Liberal1,08212.0%
- Aaron Kowal · Green2372.6%
- Margin
- 32.2%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 58.4%
- Registered
- 15,476
2019 result
- Mark Wasyliw · Manitoba NDPelected4,00342.4%
- Nancy Cooke · Progressive Conservative3,00731.8%
- Craig Larkins · Liberal1,71918.2%
- Casey Fennessy · Green7237.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $69,00045 of 57
- Renters
- 51.0%5 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 38.0%7 of 57
- Median age
- 34.845 of 57
- Over 65
- 15.6%30 of 57
- Visible minority
- 38.7%9 of 57
- Immigrants
- 23.0%19 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 8.0%48 of 57
- Unemployment
- 9.0%20 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.