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WinnipegToss-upUrban
Fort Whyte
MLA: Obby Khan · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Liberal43% chance of winning
- Liberal · 31.4% projected vote43%
- Progressive Conservative · 27.4% projected vote35%
- Manitoba NDP · 28.4% projected vote17%
- Independent · 10.3% projected vote5%
2023 result
- Obby Khan · Progressive Conservativeelected5,44247.9%
- Willard Reaves · Liberal4,21337.1%
- Trudy Schroeder · Manitoba NDP1,71415.1%
- Margin
- 10.8%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 64.1%
- Registered
- 17,732
2019 result
- Brian Pallister · Progressive Conservativeelected5,61957.2%
- Beatrice Bruske · Manitoba NDP1,75717.9%
- Darrel Morin · Liberal1,73117.6%
- Sara Campbell · Green6656.8%
- Jason Holenski · Other540.6%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $106,0006 of 57
- Renters
- 27.9%27 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 44.9%2 of 57
- Median age
- 45.26 of 57
- Over 65
- 20.9%12 of 57
- Visible minority
- 33.1%13 of 57
- Immigrants
- 27.8%12 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 3.7%57 of 57
- Unemployment
- 7.3%37 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.