← Map
WinnipegSafeUrban
Roblin
MLA: Kathleen Cook · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 52.0% projected vote99%
- Progressive Conservative · 37.2% projected vote1%
2023 result
- Kathleen Cook · Progressive Conservativeelected6,08849.7%
- Madelaine Dwyer · Manitoba NDP4,96840.6%
- Detlev Regelsky · Liberal1,1899.7%
- Margin
- 9.2%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 62.2%
- Registered
- 19,699
2019 result
- Myrna Driedger · Progressive Conservativeelected6,20355.2%
- Sophie Brandt-Murenzi · Manitoba NDP2,02318.0%
- Michael Bazak · Liberal1,77515.8%
- Kevin Nichols · Green1,23811.0%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $109,0005 of 57
- Renters
- 14.6%48 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 30.6%12 of 57
- Median age
- 44.011 of 57
- Over 65
- 21.1%10 of 57
- Visible minority
- 9.3%37 of 57
- Immigrants
- 12.5%39 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 8.7%43 of 57
- Unemployment
- 6.8%44 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.