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Assiniboia
MLA: Nellie Kennedy · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 62.7% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Nellie Kennedy · Manitoba NDPelected4,72250.0%
- Scott Johnston · Progressive Conservative3,80640.3%
- Charles Ward · Liberal9139.7%
- Margin
- 9.7%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 55.4%
- Registered
- 17,028
2019 result
- Scott Johnston · Progressive Conservativeelected4,10844.3%
- Joe McKellep · Manitoba NDP3,29235.5%
- Jeff Anderson · Liberal1,24713.4%
- John Delaat · Green6366.8%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $76,00035 of 57
- Renters
- 39.1%11 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 18.6%32 of 57
- Median age
- 41.217 of 57
- Over 65
- 18.8%19 of 57
- Visible minority
- 16.6%30 of 57
- Immigrants
- 15.0%35 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 15.6%25 of 57
- Unemployment
- 8.7%22 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.