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MLA: Diljeet Brar · Manitoba NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.

Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Manitoba NDP · 58.9% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Diljeet Brar · Manitoba NDPelected3,03246.0%
  • Garry Alejo · Liberal2,07431.5%
  • Nav Brar · Progressive Conservative1,47922.5%
Margin
14.6%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
44.4%
Registered
14,835

2019 result

  • Diljeet Brar · Manitoba NDPelected2,55539.7%
  • Jasmine Brar · Progressive Conservative1,68126.1%
  • Sarb Gill · Liberal1,17818.3%
  • Edda Pangilinan · Other1,02215.9%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.

Median household income
$83,00026 of 57
Renters
25.6%31 of 57
Bachelor's or higher
22.4%26 of 57
Median age
37.235 of 57
Over 65
13.5%42 of 57
Visible minority
63.0%4 of 57
Immigrants
50.8%2 of 57
Indigenous identity
13.0%31 of 57
Unemployment
9.0%19 of 57

Closest races, Winnipeg

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.