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EastSafeRural
Interlake-Gimli
MLA: Derek Johnson · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 56.9% projected vote>99%
- Progressive Conservative · 40.0% projected vote<1%
2023 result
- Derek Johnson · Progressive Conservativeelected5,14349.6%
- Sarah Pinsent-Bardarson · Manitoba NDP4,46043.0%
- Larry Brandt · Keystone3933.8%
- Sean James · Liberal3743.6%
- Margin
- 6.6%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 64.5%
- Registered
- 16,065
2019 result
- Derek Johnson · Progressive Conservativeelected6,16558.6%
- Sarah Pinsent · Manitoba NDP3,47833.1%
- Dwight Harfield · Green4734.5%
- Mary Lou Bourgeois · Liberal4003.8%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $64,50052 of 57
- Renters
- 18.7%44 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 10.6%51 of 57
- Median age
- 48.82 of 57
- Over 65
- 25.7%2 of 57
- Visible minority
- 3.0%52 of 57
- Immigrants
- 6.9%47 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 27.7%9 of 57
- Unemployment
- 10.7%9 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.