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EastLeanRural
Springfield-Ritchot
MLA: Ron Schuler · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP83% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 48.1% projected vote83%
- Progressive Conservative · 42.0% projected vote17%
2023 result
- Ron Schuler · Progressive Conservativeelected5,75254.9%
- Tammy Ivanco · Manitoba NDP3,82736.5%
- Trevor Kirczenow · Liberal9008.6%
- Margin
- 18.4%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 57.9%
- Registered
- 18,089
2019 result
- Ron Schuler · Progressive Conservativeelected5,67059.5%
- Sam Okoi · Manitoba NDP1,98220.8%
- Garrett Hawgood · Green1,06611.2%
- Sara Mirwaldt · Liberal8148.5%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $114,0003 of 57
- Renters
- 10.3%54 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 21.3%28 of 57
- Median age
- 38.032 of 57
- Over 65
- 13.7%38 of 57
- Visible minority
- 4.3%44 of 57
- Immigrants
- 6.8%49 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 13.6%29 of 57
- Unemployment
- 5.8%50 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.