← Map
EastSafeRural
Selkirk
MLA: Richard Perchotte · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 57.4% projected vote>99%
- Progressive Conservative · 39.5% projected vote<1%
2023 result
- Richard Perchotte · Progressive Conservativeelected4,96352.5%
- Mitch Obach · Manitoba NDP4,49347.5%
- Margin
- 5.0%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 55.2%
- Registered
- 17,120
2019 result
- Alan Lagimodiere · Progressive Conservativeelected4,87251.8%
- Mitch Obach · Manitoba NDP3,32935.4%
- Tony Hill · Green7167.6%
- Philip Olcen · Liberal4825.1%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $86,00021 of 57
- Renters
- 22.1%38 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 13.7%44 of 57
- Median age
- 44.89 of 57
- Over 65
- 20.5%13 of 57
- Visible minority
- 5.1%41 of 57
- Immigrants
- 7.8%44 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 23.9%10 of 57
- Unemployment
- 7.9%32 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.