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EastSwingRural
Red River North
MLA: Jeff Wharton · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP73% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 50.0% projected vote73%
- Progressive Conservative · 46.1% projected vote27%
2023 result
- Jeff Wharton · Progressive Conservativeelected5,92660.4%
- Alicia Hill · Manitoba NDP3,89339.6%
- Margin
- 20.7%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 59.6%
- Registered
- 16,474
2019 result
- Jeff Wharton · Progressive Conservativeelected5,56958.0%
- Chris Pullen · Manitoba NDP2,38924.9%
- Graham Hnatiuk · Green7407.7%
- Noel Ngo · Liberal7357.7%
- Jocelyn Burzuik · Other1731.8%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $112,0004 of 57
- Renters
- 4.3%57 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 22.8%25 of 57
- Median age
- 47.64 of 57
- Over 65
- 20.1%16 of 57
- Visible minority
- 4.6%43 of 57
- Immigrants
- 8.8%41 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 14.1%27 of 57
- Unemployment
- 7.0%41 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.