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EastSafeRural
La Vérendrye
MLA: Konrad Narth · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 55.8% projected vote>99%
- Manitoba NDP · 37.6% projected vote<1%
2023 result
- Konrad Narth · Progressive Conservativeelected4,58661.0%
- Bianca Siem · Manitoba NDP1,55420.7%
- Matthew Wiebe · Keystone7369.8%
- Monica Guetre · Liberal6408.5%
- Margin
- 40.3%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 55.3%
- Registered
- 13,604
2019 result
- Dennis Smook · Progressive Conservativeelected5,31072.8%
- Erin McGee · Manitoba NDP1,04614.3%
- Lorena Mitchell · Liberal93912.9%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $81,00028 of 57
- Renters
- 17.1%45 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 8.8%56 of 57
- Median age
- 32.851 of 57
- Over 65
- 11.7%49 of 57
- Visible minority
- 3.3%48 of 57
- Immigrants
- 15.0%34 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 17.2%21 of 57
- Unemployment
- 5.9%49 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.