← Map
EastSwingRural
Lac du Bonnet
MLA: Wayne Ewasko · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP68% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 45.4% projected vote68%
- Progressive Conservative · 42.3% projected vote32%
2023 result
- Wayne Ewasko · Progressive Conservativeelected5,67058.5%
- Kathy Majowski · Manitoba NDP3,44735.6%
- Blair Mahaffy · Green5735.9%
- Margin
- 22.9%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 60.3%
- Registered
- 16,084
2019 result
- Wayne Ewasko · Progressive Conservativeelected6,17765.9%
- Sidney Klassen · Manitoba NDP1,81419.4%
- Terry Hayward · Liberal1,38114.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $78,50032 of 57
- Renters
- 12.0%53 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 11.3%49 of 57
- Median age
- 52.01 of 57
- Over 65
- 27.0%1 of 57
- Visible minority
- 1.5%56 of 57
- Immigrants
- 6.2%50 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 19.1%14 of 57
- Unemployment
- 9.4%15 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.