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MLA: Trevor King · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative95% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 51.1% projected vote95%
- Manitoba NDP · 40.4% projected vote5%
2023 result
- Trevor King · Progressive Conservativeelected6,08861.7%
- Dan Rugg · Manitoba NDP2,68227.2%
- Neil Stewart · Liberal1,10111.2%
- Margin
- 34.5%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 60.5%
- Registered
- 16,302
2019 result
- Ralph Eichler · Progressive Conservativeelected6,40968.2%
- Dan Rugg · Manitoba NDP2,08922.2%
- Ilsa Regelsky · Liberal8949.5%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $96,00011 of 57
- Renters
- 13.4%51 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.6%41 of 57
- Median age
- 42.414 of 57
- Over 65
- 17.9%21 of 57
- Visible minority
- 2.5%53 of 57
- Immigrants
- 5.0%52 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 17.7%19 of 57
- Unemployment
- 5.0%55 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.