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Southwest/SouthSafeRural
Midland
MLA: Lauren Stone · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 58.7% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Lauren Stone · Progressive Conservativeelected6,22769.4%
- Hannah Drudge · Manitoba NDP2,01122.4%
- Jim Kane · Liberal7378.2%
- Margin
- 47.0%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 56.5%
- Registered
- 15,892
2019 result
- Blaine Pedersen · Progressive Conservativeelected6,70675.0%
- Cindy Friesen · Manitoba NDP1,37215.3%
- Julia Sisler · Liberal8629.6%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $92,00015 of 57
- Renters
- 13.6%50 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 18.6%31 of 57
- Median age
- 38.824 of 57
- Over 65
- 16.5%26 of 57
- Visible minority
- 5.1%40 of 57
- Immigrants
- 8.7%42 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 8.5%45 of 57
- Unemployment
- 4.3%57 of 57
Closest races, Southwest/South
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.